Chocolate Bar With Filling Market

The global market for chocolate bars with fillings is projected to continue its upward consumption trend over the next eight years, with an anticipated CAGR of +1.3% in volume and +3.2% in value from 2022 to 2030. Consumption volume decreased in 2022 after peaking at 10M tons in 2021. The countries with the highest consumption and production volumes in 2022 were China, the United States, and Russia. Import and export volumes are also on the rise, with notable growth rates seen in Poland and Iraq. The average import and export prices have remained relatively stable, with Canada having the highest export price per ton. Overall, the global market for chocolate bars with fillings is expected to see steady growth in the coming years.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for chocolate bars with fillings worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.3% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 11M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.2% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $68B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Chocolate Bars With Fillings

In 2022, consumption of chocolate bars with fillings decreased by -2.7% to 9.8M tons for the first time since 2016, thus ending a five-year rising trend. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the peak volume at 10M tons in 2021, and then contracted modestly in the following year.

The global chocolate bar with filling market value reduced slightly to $52.8B in 2022, dropping by -4.6% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. Global consumption peaked at $55.4B in 2021, and then reduced modestly in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were China (1.5M tons), the United States (991K tons) and Russia (954K tons), with a combined 35% share of global consumption. India, Japan, Pakistan, Germany, Indonesia, Brazil, Nigeria, Bangladesh, Mexico and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 27%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Italy (with a CAGR of +9.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest chocolate bar with filling markets worldwide were China ($7B), the United States ($5.1B) and Japan ($4.5B), with a combined 31% share of the global market. India, Russia, Indonesia, Brazil, Nigeria, Italy, Mexico, Germany, Bangladesh and Pakistan lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 28%.

In terms of the main consuming countries, Italy, with a CAGR of +7.8%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2022, the highest levels of chocolate bar with filling per capita consumption was registered in Russia (6.6 kg per person), followed by Germany (3.2 kg per person), the United States (3 kg per person) and Italy (2.9 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of chocolate bar with filling was estimated at 1.2 kg per person.

In Russia, chocolate bar with filling per capita consumption remained relatively stable over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Germany (+3.4% per year) and the United States (+0.5% per year).

Production

World Production of Chocolate Bars With Fillings

In 2022, production of chocolate bars with fillings decreased by -2.4% to 9.8M tons for the first time since 2016, thus ending a five-year rising trend. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 9%. Global production peaked at 10M tons in 2021, and then dropped slightly in the following year.

In value terms, chocolate bar with filling production shrank modestly to $52.6B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when the production volume increased by 12% against the previous year. Global production peaked at $55.2B in 2021, and then declined modestly in the following year.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (1.5M tons), Russia (970K tons) and the United States (958K tons), together comprising 35% of global production. India, Germany, Japan, Pakistan, Indonesia, Brazil, Nigeria, Bangladesh, Mexico and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 28%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Italy (with a CAGR of +10.8%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Chocolate Bars With Fillings

In 2022, the amount of chocolate bars with fillings imported worldwide expanded modestly to 1M tons, surging by 1.9% on the previous year. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when imports increased by 13% against the previous year. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, chocolate bar with filling imports amounted to $5.3B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 12%. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in the near future.

Imports By Country

The countries with the highest levels of chocolate bar with filling imports in 2022 were the UK (111K tons), Germany (83K tons), France (64K tons), the Netherlands (61K tons) and the United States (61K tons), together amounting to 37% of total import. The following importers - Poland (39K tons), Romania (31K tons), Belgium (29K tons), Iraq (24K tons), Italy (23K tons), Sweden (21K tons), Russia (19K tons) and Spain (17K tons) - together made up 20% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Iraq (with a CAGR of +16.8%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest chocolate bar with filling importing markets worldwide were the United States ($490M), the UK ($482M) and Germany ($400M), with a combined 26% share of global imports. The Netherlands, France, Poland, Belgium, Romania, Italy, Sweden, Russia, Iraq and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 29%.

Iraq, with a CAGR of +15.5%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average chocolate bar with filling import price stood at $5,153 per ton in 2022, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the average import price increased by 6.5%. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the peak figure at $5,385 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($8,047 per ton), while Iraq ($3,391 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+2.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Chocolate Bars With Fillings

In 2022, the amount of chocolate bars with fillings exported worldwide totaled 1M tons, with an increase of 4.6% against 2021 figures. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 8.6%. Over the period under review, the global exports reached the peak figure in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, chocolate bar with filling exports rose remarkably to $5.3B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 14% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Exports By Country

The Netherlands (219K tons) and Germany (191K tons) represented roughly 39% of total exports in 2022. Poland (84K tons) held an 8% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Turkey (6.1%) and Austria (5.5%). Canada (36K tons), Russia (35K tons), Italy (28K tons), the United States (28K tons), Belgium (26K tons), the UK (22K tons), Egypt (22K tons) and Spain (21K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the leading exporting countries, was attained by Poland (with a CAGR of +12.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($1.1B), the Netherlands ($959M) and Poland ($342M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022, together comprising 46% of global exports.

Poland, with a CAGR of +13.8%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, in terms of the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average chocolate bar with filling export price stood at $5,118 per ton in 2022, remaining constant against the previous year. Overall, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the average export price increased by 5.1%. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the maximum at $5,384 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($8,303 per ton), while Turkey ($2,913 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada (+2.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform