Fruit and Berry Market

The article discusses the projections for the global fruit and berry market from 2022 to 2030, with an expected increase in consumption and market volume. It highlights key trends in market performance, production, imports, exports, and average prices. China leads in both consumption and production, while the United States, the Netherlands, and Mexico are major importers and exporters. Bananas, grapes, and raspberries are among the top products in terms of volume and value. Overall, the global market is forecasted to see steady growth in the coming years.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for fruits and berries worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.8% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1,077M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.5% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $1,416.1B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Fruits And Berries

Global fruit and berry consumption amounted to 937M tons in 2022, leveling off at 2021. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, global consumption reached the peak volume in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

The global fruit and berry market revenue shrank slightly to $1,075B in 2022, approximately equating the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years. Over the period under review, the global market reached the peak level at $1,085.8B in 2021, and then dropped in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The country with the largest volume of fruit and berry consumption was China (263M tons), comprising approx. 28% of total volume. Moreover, fruit and berry consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (113M tons), twofold. Brazil (41M tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 4.4% share.

In China, fruit and berry consumption increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: India (+3.8% per year) and Brazil (-0.0% per year).

In value terms, China ($335.7B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by India ($78.1B). It was followed by the United States.

In China, the fruit and berry market expanded at an average annual rate of +5.6% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: India (+4.5% per year) and the United States (+1.0% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of fruit and berry per capita consumption in 2022 were Italy (295 kg per person), Turkey (262 kg per person) and Brazil (191 kg per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for India (with a CAGR of +2.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Consumption By Type

The products with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were bananas (181M tons), watermelons (100M tons) and apples (96M tons), with a combined 40% share of global consumption. Oranges, grapes, fruits and berries, nes, mangoes, mangosteens and guavas, tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, pineapples, melons, pears and quinces, peaches and nectarines, lemons and limes, citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, papayas, plums and sloes, grapefruits, strawberries, dates, avocados, kiwi fruits, cherries and sour cherries, raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries, apricots and figs lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 60%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consumed products, was attained by avocados (with a CAGR of +7.0%), while consumption for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest types of fruits and berries in terms of market size were grapes ($152.2B), fruits and berries, nes ($121.7B) and bananas ($120.9B), together accounting for 37% of the global market. Apples, mangoes, mangosteens and guavas, watermelons, tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, oranges, melons, peaches and nectarines, strawberries, pears and quinces, citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, pineapples, raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries, lemons and limes, avocados, plums and sloes, cherries and sour cherries, papayas, dates, grapefruits, kiwi fruits, apricots and figs lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 63%.

In terms of the main consumed products, avocados, with a CAGR of +9.0%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size over the period under review, while market for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Fruits And Berries

Global fruit and berry production was estimated at 936M tons in 2022, standing approx. at 2021. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 4.3%. Global production peaked in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in the near future. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a slight expansion of the harvested area and mild growth in yield figures.

In value terms, fruit and berry production dropped modestly to $1,114.5B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +4.2% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 12% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production reached the maximum level at $1,118.7B in 2021, and then shrank in the following year.

Production By Country

China (260M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of fruit and berry production, accounting for 28% of total volume. Moreover, fruit and berry production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (113M tons), twofold. Brazil (42M tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 4.5% share.

In China, fruit and berry production expanded at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: India (+3.8% per year) and Brazil (+0.0% per year).

Production By Type

The products with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were bananas (179M tons), watermelons (100M tons) and apples (96M tons), together comprising 40% of global production. Oranges, grapes, fruits and berries, nes, mangoes, mangosteens and guavas, tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, pineapples, melons, pears and quinces, peaches and nectarines, lemons and limes, citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, papayas, plums and sloes, grapefruits, dates, strawberries, avocados, kiwi fruits, cherries and sour cherries, raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries, apricots and figs lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 60%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the key produced products, was attained by avocados (with a CAGR of +7.0%), while production for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest types of fruits and berries in terms of market size were grapes ($154.8B), fruits and berries, nes ($130.6B) and bananas ($125.1B), together accounting for 37% of global production. Apples, mangoes, mangosteens and guavas, watermelons, oranges, tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, peaches and nectarines, strawberries, melons, pears and quinces, citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, pineapples, lemons and limes, raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries, avocados, plums and sloes, cherries and sour cherries, papayas, dates, grapefruits, kiwi fruits, apricots and figs lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 63%.

Citrus fruits not elsewhere classified, with a CAGR of +11.1%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size in terms of the main produced products over the period under review, while production for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Yield

The global average fruit and berry yield totaled 14 tons per ha in 2022, leveling off at 2021 figures. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 2.3%. Over the period under review, the average fruit and berry yield attained the maximum level in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

Harvested Area

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of fruits and berries production worldwide fell modestly to 68M ha, leveling off at 2021 figures. Overall, the harvested area, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the harvested area increased by 3.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to fruit and berry production reached the maximum at 68M ha in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

Imports

World Imports of Fruits And Berries

In 2022, purchases abroad of fruits and berries decreased by -7.7% to 83M tons for the first time since 2011, thus ending a ten-year rising trend. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when imports increased by 7.7% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at 90M tons in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

In value terms, fruit and berry imports declined modestly to $108.5B in 2022. Overall, total imports indicated temperate growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +56.0% against 2012 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 when imports increased by 9.2% against the previous year. Global imports peaked at $113.4B in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

Imports By Country

In 2022, the United States (13M tons), distantly followed by China (5.8M tons), the Netherlands (5.6M tons), Russia (5.3M tons) and Germany (5.3M tons) were the major importers of fruits and berries, together creating 42% of total imports. The following importers - France (3.5M tons), the UK (3.3M tons), Canada (2.6M tons), Belgium (2.1M tons), Spain (2M tons), Italy (1.9M tons), Japan (1.6M tons) and Poland (1.6M tons) - together made up 22% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to fruit and berry imports into the United States stood at +3.0%. At the same time, China (+7.4%), Spain (+5.6%), the Netherlands (+5.5%), Poland (+3.4%), France (+1.5%) and Italy (+1.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, China emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +7.4% from 2012-2022. Germany, Canada, the UK and Russia experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Japan (-1.1%) and Belgium (-1.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of China, the Netherlands and the United States increased by +2.9, +2 and +1.8 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($18.1B), China ($12.7B) and the Netherlands ($8.1B) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together accounting for 36% of global imports.

In terms of the main importing countries, China, with a CAGR of +15.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports By Type

Bananas represented the main imported product with an import of about 24M tons, which accounted for 28% of total imports. Apples (7.5M tons) held the second position in the ranking, followed by oranges (6.2M tons), tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas (5M tons), grapes (5M tons) and fruits and berries, nes (4.4M tons). All these products together held near 34% share of total imports. Lemons and limes (3.8M tons), watermelons (3.7M tons), pineapples (3.5M tons), avocados (3.1M tons), pears and quinces (2.5M tons), mangoes, mangosteens and guavas (2.3M tons), melons (1.9M tons), peaches and nectarines (1.6M tons), dates (1.6M tons), kiwi fruits (1.6M tons) and raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries (1.6M tons) held a relatively small share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to bananas imports of stood at +2.2%. At the same time, raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries (+12.5%), avocados (+10.8%), dates (+4.7%), mangoes, mangosteens and guavas (+4.6%), lemons and limes (+4.5%), fruits and berries, nes (+2.9%), grapes (+2.6%), watermelons (+2.3%), pineapples (+1.7%) and kiwi fruits (+1.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries emerged as the fastest-growing type imported in the world, with a CAGR of +12.5% from 2012-2022. Tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, melons, oranges and pears and quinces experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, apples (-1.2%) and peaches and nectarines (-1.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of avocados (+2.1 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global imports from 2012-2022, the share of oranges (-1.8 p.p.) and apples (-3.1 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other products remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, bananas ($15.3B), grapes ($10.4B) and raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries ($9.5B) appeared to be the products with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising 32% of global imports.

Raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries, with a CAGR of +14.1%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, in terms of the main imported products over the period under review, while purchases for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Type

The average fruit and berry import price stood at $1,300 per ton in 2022, surging by 3.6% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.7%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 6.2% against the previous year. Global import price peaked in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in the near future.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major imported products. In 2022, the product with the highest price was raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries ($6,022 per ton), while the price for watermelons ($604 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by fruit and berry, nes (+6.8%), while the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average fruit and berry import price stood at $1,300 per ton in 2022, picking up by 3.6% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.7%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the average import price increased by 6.2%. Global import price peaked in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($2,178 per ton), while Russia ($756 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+7.5%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Fruits And Berries

In 2022, after six years of growth, there was significant decline in shipments abroad of fruits and berries, when their volume decreased by -6.9% to 83M tons. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when exports increased by 9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports reached the peak figure at 89M tons in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

In value terms, fruit and berry exports reduced to $99.1B in 2022. In general, total exports indicated temperate growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when exports increased by 9.6%. The global exports peaked at $105.4B in 2021, and then shrank in the following year.

Exports By Country

The biggest shipments were from Spain (6.7M tons), Ecuador (4.6M tons), Costa Rica (4.4M tons), the Netherlands (4.3M tons), South Africa (4.2M tons), Mexico (4M tons), Turkey (3.6M tons), Guatemala (3.4M tons), the United States (3.2M tons), China (3.1M tons), Chile (2.6M tons) and Colombia (2.6M tons), together amounting to 56% of total export. Italy (2.5M tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Turkey (with a CAGR of +6.2%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest fruit and berry supplying countries worldwide were Spain ($9.4B), the Netherlands ($7.6B) and Mexico ($6.9B), with a combined 24% share of global exports.

Mexico, with a CAGR of +10.7%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, in terms of the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports By Type

Bananas represented the largest exported product with an export of about 22M tons, which reached 27% of total exports. Apples (7.6M tons) took a 9.2% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by oranges (7.9%), tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas (6.5%), grapes (5.8%), watermelons (4.8%), lemons and limes (4.8%) and fruits and berries, nes (4.6%). Pineapples (3.2M tons), avocados (3M tons), pears and quinces (2.7M tons), mangoes, mangosteens and guavas (2.5M tons), melons (2M tons), peaches and nectarines (1.6M tons), kiwi fruits (1.6M tons), dates (1.6M tons) and raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries (1.4M tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Exports of bananas increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries (+12.1%), avocados (+11.0%), dates (+5.2%), mangoes, mangosteens and guavas (+4.2%), lemons and limes (+4.1%), watermelons (+3.8%), fruits and berries, nes (+2.2%), grapes (+2.2%), kiwi fruits (+1.2%) and tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas (+1.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries emerged as the fastest-growing type exported in the world, with a CAGR of +12.1% from 2012-2022. Oranges, pears and quinces and pineapples experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, peaches and nectarines (-1.0%), apples (-1.0%) and melons (-1.2%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Avocados (+2.2 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while apples saw its share reduced by -2.6% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other products remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the largest types of exported fruits and berries were bananas ($14B), grapes ($8.9B) and fruits and berries, nes ($8.1B), with a combined 31% share of global exports. Raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries, avocados, apples, tangerines, mandarins, clementines, satsumas, oranges, cherries and sour cherries, lemons and limes, kiwi fruits, mangoes, mangosteens and guavas, strawberries, pears and quinces, peaches and nectarines, pineapples, watermelons, dates, melons, plums and sloes, grapefruits, figs, apricots, papayas and citrus fruits not elsewhere classified lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 69%.

Among the main exported products, avocados, with a CAGR of +14.7%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Type

In 2022, the average fruit and berry export price amounted to $1,200 per ton, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.8%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 an increase of 7.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the peak figure in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by the product type; the product with the highest price was raspberries, blackberries, blueberries, and cranberries ($5,662 per ton), while the average price for exports of watermelons ($538 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by fruit and berry, nes (+8.0%), while the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average fruit and berry export price stood at $1,200 per ton in 2022, remaining stable against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.8%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 an increase of 7.3%. The global export price peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Chile ($2,028 per ton), while Guatemala ($404 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Mexico (+7.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform