Transistor Market

The article provides a comprehensive analysis of the global transistor market, excluding photosensitive transistors, projecting an upward trend in consumption over the next eight years. Market performance is expected to grow at a CAGR of +1.7% in volume and +4.6% in value from 2022 to 2030. Key highlights include consumption trends, production volumes, import-export data, and average prices, showcasing notable growth rates and fluctuations in the market. Leading countries in consumption and production, as well as trends in transistor types and per capita consumption, are also discussed.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for transistors, other than photosensitive transistors worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.7% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1,050B units by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.6% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $120B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Transistors, Other Than Photosensitive Transistors

Global transistor consumption rose significantly to 920B units in 2022, increasing by 7.7% compared with 2021 figures. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Global consumption peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

The global transistor market size amounted to $83.7B in 2022, stabilizing at the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, the total consumption indicated a strong expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +2.4% against 2020 indices. Over the period under review, the global market reached the peak level at $87.8B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were China (178B units), Mexico (170B units) and the United States (124B units), with a combined 51% share of global consumption. Hong Kong SAR, Japan, Malaysia and Germany lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 12%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Malaysia (with a CAGR of +15.9%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($15.7B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by Japan ($3.6B). It was followed by Hong Kong SAR.

In China, the transistor market expanded at an average annual rate of +8.8% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Japan (-1.2% per year) and Hong Kong SAR (+7.3% per year).

In 2022, the highest levels of transistor per capita consumption was registered in Hong Kong SAR (4.5 units per person), followed by Mexico (1.3 units per person), Malaysia (0.8 units per person) and the United States (0.4 units per person), while the world average per capita consumption of transistor was estimated at 0.1 units per person.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of the transistor per capita consumption in Hong Kong SAR was relatively modest. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Mexico (+4.3% per year) and Malaysia (+14.4% per year).

Production

World Production of Transistors, Other Than Photosensitive Transistors

In 2022, global production of transistors, other than photosensitive transistors reduced modestly to 649B units, waning by -3.4% on 2021. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the production volume increased by 16%. Global production peaked at 672B units in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

In value terms, transistor production fell to $67B in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated a pronounced expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -12.7% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when the production volume increased by 20%. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at $76.8B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (208B units), the United States (115B units) and Japan (38B units), with a combined 56% share of global production. Malaysia, Germany, Thailand, the Philippines, South Korea and Belgium lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 14%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the key producing countries, was attained by Belgium (with a CAGR of +10.6%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Transistors, Other Than Photosensitive Transistors

In 2022, the amount of transistors, other than photosensitive transistors imported worldwide reached 582B units, with an increase of 11% on the year before. In general, total imports indicated pronounced growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +66.9% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 22% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports attained the maximum in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, transistor imports soared to $42.9B in 2022. Overall, imports posted buoyant growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 27% against the previous year. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Imports By Country

Mexico (169B units) and China (125B units) represented the major importers of transistors, other than photosensitive transistors in 2022, reaching approx. 29% and 21% of total imports, respectively. Hong Kong SAR (80B units) ranks next in terms of the total imports with a 14% share, followed by Germany (5.2%). The following importers - Hungary (16B units), the United States (12B units), Spain (11B units), Singapore (10B units), Romania (10B units), Japan (9.3B units), Malaysia (9.2B units) and Italy (8.8B units) - together made up 15% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Spain (with a CAGR of +18.9%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($11.7B), Hong Kong SAR ($9.2B) and Germany ($3.1B) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising 56% of global imports. Singapore, the United States, Mexico, Japan, Malaysia, Hungary, Italy, Romania and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 23%.

Among the main importing countries, Romania, with a CAGR of +20.0%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports By Type

Electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of less than 1W was the main imported product with an import of around 441B units, which reached 75% of total imports. It was distantly followed by electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more (144B units), creating a 25% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of less than 1W imports of stood at +2.0%. At the same time, electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more (+11.6%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more emerged as the fastest-growing type imported in the world, with a CAGR of +11.6% from 2012-2022. From 2012 to 2022, the share of electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more increased by +13 percentage points.

In value terms, electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more ($35.6B) constitutes the largest type of transistors, other than photosensitive transistors imported worldwide, comprising 83% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of less than 1W ($7.3B), with a 17% share of global imports.

For electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more, imports expanded at an average annual rate of +11.4% over the period from 2012-2022.

Import Prices By Type

The average transistor import price stood at $74 per thousand units in 2022, growing by 5.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import price indicated prominent growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, transistor import price increased by +70.8% against 2015 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 an increase of 25%. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the maximum in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major imported products. In 2022, the product with the highest price was electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more ($248 per thousand units), while the price for electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of less than 1W totaled $17 per thousand units.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of less than 1W (+0.8%).

Import Prices By Country

The average transistor import price stood at $74 per thousand units in 2022, surging by 5.3% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a strong expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +5.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, transistor import price increased by +70.8% against 2015 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when the average import price increased by 25% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the peak figure in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Singapore ($265 per thousand units), while Mexico ($7.8 per thousand units) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Hungary (+12.4%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Transistors, Other Than Photosensitive Transistors

In 2022, shipments abroad of transistors, other than photosensitive transistors decreased by -9.6% to 312B units for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. Over the period under review, total exports indicated a modest increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +47.2% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 41% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 345B units, and then dropped in the following year.

In value terms, transistor exports expanded notably to $38.8B in 2022. In general, total exports indicated prominent growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +86.6% against 2016 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 30%. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Exports By Country

China represented the main exporting country with an export of about 155B units, which finished at 50% of total exports. Hong Kong SAR (46B units) held a 15% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Germany (8.2%) and Japan (5.4%). Singapore (13B units), Thailand (11B units), South Korea (7.7B units) and Belgium (5.2B units) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Exports from China increased at an average annual rate of +7.3% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Belgium (+36.0%), Thailand (+11.8%) and Germany (+6.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Belgium emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the world, with a CAGR of +36.0% from 2012-2022. Hong Kong SAR experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Japan (-2.1%), South Korea (-5.3%) and Singapore (-6.1%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of China, Germany, Thailand and Belgium increased by +21, +3.3, +2.1 and +1.6 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Hong Kong SAR ($8.4B), China ($8B) and Singapore ($4.9B) constituted the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022, together accounting for 55% of global exports. Germany, Japan, South Korea, Thailand and Belgium lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 20%.

In terms of the main exporting countries, Belgium, with a CAGR of +25.5%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports By Type

Electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of less than 1W represented the largest type of transistors, other than photosensitive transistors in the world, with the volume of exports accounting for 227B units, which was near 73% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more (85B units), constituting a 27% share of total exports.

Electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of less than 1W experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports. At the same time, electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more (+6.8%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more emerged as the fastest-growing type exported in the world, with a CAGR of +6.8% from 2012-2022. While the share of electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more (+11 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the global exports from 2012-2022, the share of electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of less than 1W (-10.9 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more ($33B) remains the largest type of transistors, other than photosensitive transistors supplied worldwide, comprising 85% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of less than 1W ($5.9B), with a 15% share of global exports.

For electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more, exports expanded at an average annual rate of +9.0% over the period from 2012-2022.

Export Prices By Type

In 2022, the average transistor export price amounted to $0.1 per unit, with an increase of 22% against the previous year. Overall, export price indicated a pronounced increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when the average export price increased by 26% against the previous year. The global export price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exported products. In 2022, the product with the highest price was electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more ($0.4 per unit), while the average price for exports of electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of less than 1W stood at less than $0.1 per unit.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by electrical apparatus; transistors, (other than photosensitive), with a dissipation rate of 1W or more (+2.1%).

Export Prices By Country

In 2022, the average transistor export price amounted to $0.1 per unit, with an increase of 22% against the previous year. In general, export price indicated a tangible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the average export price increased by 26% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the maximum in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Singapore ($0.4 per unit), while Belgium (less than $0.1 per unit) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Singapore (+16.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform