Pear Market

The global pear market is expected to continue growing with an anticipated CAGR of +0.7% in consumption and +2.9% in value from 2022 to 2030. China leads in both consumption and production, while Indonesia shows the highest growth rates in imports and Turkey in exports. Major exporters include China, the Netherlands, and Belgium, while major importers include Russia, Germany, and Indonesia. Prices and volumes have fluctuated over the years, with overall positive trends in production and value. The article provides detailed information on key market trends, countries, and forecasts for the global pear market.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for pears worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.7% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 27M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.9% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $37.5B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Pears

In 2022, after three years of growth, there was decline in consumption of pears, when its volume decreased by -1.5% to 25M tons. In general, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. Global consumption peaked at 26M tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The global pear market size shrank modestly to $29.9B in 2022, standing approx. at the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. Global consumption peaked at $30.2B in 2021, and then fell in the following year.

Consumption By Country

China (18M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of pear consumption, accounting for 71% of total volume. It was followed by the United States (578K tons), with a 2.3% share of total consumption. Italy (521K tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 2.1% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China was relatively modest. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: the United States (-1.0% per year) and Italy (-1.1% per year).

In value terms, China ($21.1B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by Italy ($809M). It was followed by the United States.

In China, the pear market increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: Italy (+0.7% per year) and the United States (+0.4% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of pear per capita consumption in 2022 were China (13 kg per person), Italy (8.8 kg per person) and Turkey (5.4 kg per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for China (with a CAGR of +0.2%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced a decline in the per capita consumption figures.

Production

World Production of Pears

After three years of growth, production of pears decreased by -1.3% to 25M tons in 2022. Overall, production, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 4.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production reached the maximum volume at 26M tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a relatively flat trend pattern of the harvested area and a modest increase in yield figures.

In value terms, pear production fell slightly to $30B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the production volume increased by 16% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at $30.3B in 2021, and then contracted slightly in the following year.

Production By Country

China (18M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of pear production, accounting for 72% of total volume. Moreover, pear production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Argentina (647K tons), more than tenfold. The United States (616K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 2.4% share.

In China, pear production remained relatively stable over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Argentina (-2.4% per year) and the United States (-2.3% per year).

Yield

In 2022, the global average pear yield contracted slightly to 18 tons per ha, leveling off at 2021. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 6.2% against the previous year. The global yield peaked at 18 tons per ha in 2021, and then declined modestly in the following year.

Harvested Area

The global pear harvested area totaled 1.4M ha in 2022, therefore, remained relatively stable against 2021 figures. Overall, the harvested area, however, showed a mild curtailment. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 2.1%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to pear production reached the maximum at 1.6M ha in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Imports

World Imports of Pears

In 2022, approx. 2.5M tons of pears were imported worldwide; reducing by -3% against the previous year's figure. In general, imports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when imports increased by 9%. As a result, imports attained the peak of 2.7M tons. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of global imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, pear imports reached $2.9B in 2022. Overall, imports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 10%. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Imports By Country

The countries with the highest levels of pear imports in 2022 were Russia (223K tons), Germany (186K tons), Indonesia (178K tons), the Netherlands (138K tons), Brazil (133K tons), France (130K tons), Italy (130K tons), the UK (114K tons), Hong Kong SAR (78K tons), the United States (73K tons), Spain (69K tons) and Thailand (62K tons), together recording 59% of total import. Canada (57K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Thailand (with a CAGR of +6.2%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($280M), Indonesia ($263M) and Russia ($195M) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined 26% share of global imports.

In terms of the main importing countries, Indonesia, with a CAGR of +9.6%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average pear import price stood at $1,129 per ton in 2022, rising by 4.1% against the previous year. In general, the import price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the average import price increased by 12% against the previous year. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $1,155 per ton. From 2014 to 2022, the average import prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($1,585 per ton), while Hong Kong SAR ($656 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Indonesia (+6.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Pears

After two years of growth, shipments abroad of pears decreased by -1.1% to 2.7M tons in 2022. In general, exports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 8.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the peak figure at 2.7M tons in 2017; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

In value terms, pear exports amounted to $2.7B in 2022. Overall, exports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 10%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $2.7B; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

Exports By Country

The shipments of the five major exporters of pears, namely China, the Netherlands, Belgium, South Africa and Argentina, represented more than half of total export. Chile (126K tons) held a 4.7% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Portugal (4.5%). The following exporters - the United States (111K tons), Spain (110K tons), Poland (107K tons), Turkey (76K tons) and Italy (55K tons) - together made up 17% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Turkey (with a CAGR of +16.7%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest pear supplying countries worldwide were China ($574M), the Netherlands ($434M) and Belgium ($293M), together comprising 48% of global exports. South Africa, Argentina, the United States, Chile, Portugal, Spain, Italy, Turkey and Poland lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 43%.

Turkey, with a CAGR of +16.7%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average pear export price stood at $1,016 per ton in 2022, approximately equating the previous year. Overall, the export price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when the average export price increased by 10% against the previous year. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $1,081 per ton. From 2014 to 2022, the average export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Italy ($1,751 per ton), while Poland ($415 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+4.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform